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TOWARD GREATER
REALISM
CONCLUSIONS
n
climatology, the world is considered as several worlds at once:
the atmosphere, the lithosphere (referring to landmasses and their
contents), the cryosphere (polar caps, ocean-borne ice, and glaciers),
and the hydrosphere (rivers and oceans). The last of these, the
oceans, cover 71 percent of the Earth's surface, and while scientists
have known for hundreds of years some basic features of ocean
circulation-such long-lived currents as the warm Gulf Stream and
the Northern Pacific "Kuroshio" near Japan-the details of smaller-scale
currents and flows have yet to be represented adequately in computational
simulations and hence in climate models. "We need extraordinary
computational power to improve our models," said geophysicist
Jeffrey B. Weiss, "and our experiments at SDSC have taken advantage
of that power. We've found some important clues to the way in
which relatively small-scale, energetic flows-ocean eddies and
vortices-form, give way to instabilities, and re-form."
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Figure 1. The Motion of the Ocean
These figures show potential
vorticity in the upper layer of the simulated ocean, with
positive and negative extrema represented by red and blue,
respectively, at increasing horizontal resolution-from left,
25 km, 12.5 km, 6.25 km, and 3.13 km.
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Weiss is a professor in the University of
Colorado's Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (PAOS).
In his work at SDSC, he is leading one of the projects within
the research program of geophysicist James C. McWilliams, who
is the Louis B. Slichter Professor of Earth Sciences in the Department
of Atmospheric Sciences, UCLA, and head of UCLA's Center for Earth
Systems Research. "Professor Weiss's project is an important
one within our program of investigations of the detailed physics
of ocean circulation," McWilliams said. "Properly diagnosing oceanic
transport is crucial for the development of accurate climate models."
Because the oceans cover more than 70 percent of the Earth's surface
and absorb most of the heat coming to Earth from the Sun, oceanic
heat transport largely governs the planet's climate on the scale
of decades to centuries. In general, heat is transferred poleward
from the equator, but the details of heat and other transports
are not well realized in oceanic general circulation models (OGCMs). The computer time used is part of a grant
to McWilliams made by the PACI program's National Resource Allocation
Committee, whose mission is to ensure that researchers of national
stature have adequate computational support from a bundle of national
resources. McWilliams is widely known as among the first to call
the attention of the oceanographic community to such phenomena
as the long-lived, deep Atlantic vortices called Gulf Stream rings,
and he has long studied the formation of coherent structures within
turbulent fluid flows in the oceans, atmosphere, and solar system.
(A canonical example of such a structure is Jupiter's Great Red
Spot, a planetary storm that has persisted for several hundred
years.) Top
| Contents | Next ON THE "MESOSCALE" "The very large-scale currents, like the Gulf
Stream and the Kuroshio, run for thousands of kilometers across
their respective basins," Weiss notes. "But coexisting with these
currents are numerous highly energetic vortex motions at relatively
small scales-tens to hundreds of kilometers. These constitute
the medium or 'mesoscale' motions, which contribute substantially
to fluxes of material properties." But that contribution has been
difficult to model in OGCMs, for example, because of limitations
in computational resources that restrict the problem size and
force scientists to use ad hoc representations of energy transfer
on small scales. Using the Cray T3E and Blue Horizon supercomputers
at SDSC, Weiss and colleagues have carried out a series of numerical
experiments, each at a higher degree of horizontal resolution.
In all the experiments, the ocean basin was represented as a box
of 3200 ¤ 3200 ¤ 5 km-dimensions about equivalent to
the Atlantic ocean basin. The results are to be published in Geophysical
Research Letters. The only other difference among the simulations
was the value of a quantity called the Reynolds number (after
British physicist and engineer Osborne Reynolds, 1842-1912). The
Reynolds number (Re) is a ratio that shows the effect of viscosity
in a fluid flow. For a smooth flow, Re may be quite low; the higher
Re goes, the more likely the flow is to contain eddies and vortices
and ultimately to become fully turbulent. Because the computational cost increases rapidly
with resolution, the scientists chose to address the problem in
the context of simplified "quasigeostrophic" (nearly two-dimensional)
equations in the geometrically idealized box domain. They were
thus able to conduct simulations over a range of previously unexplored
grid resolutions and for multiyear time intervals required to
understand statistical trends. "More detailed analyses of these
idealized solutions can be used to guide the development of subgrid
parameterizations for more realistic models," Weiss pointed out.
Top
| Contents | Next TOWARD GREATER REALISM
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Figure 2. Oceans in Motion
Potential vorticity of the
simulated ocean at the highest horizontal resolution-1.56
km.
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Some results are shown in Figures 1 and 2.
In the first image, coherent vortices are beginning to emerge.
"When we examine this flow as time-dependent, using computer animation,"
Weiss said, "we find that the vortices originate as 'rings,' evolving
from jet meanders and becoming pinched-off, elliptical structures.
They have diameters on the order of 100 km and lifetimes of several
months, which is inconsistent with oceanic observations." The
Gulf Stream rings have been shown to have lifetimes of several
years, for example. They are characterized, in fact, by their
unusual persistence and ability to maintain temperature and chemical
properties distinct from the surrounding ocean. "When we raise Re and increase the horizontal
resolution, the flows are brought more in line with observations,"
Weiss said. In Figure 2, vortex structures covering a wide range
of scales now populate almost the entire region south of the main
jet. Some small vortices endure for as long as a year in these
simulations. Vortex-vortex mergers are also frequent and conspicuous
in the flow animations. Ultimately, Weiss and colleagues speculated,
this process limits the growth of the vortex population and the
whole may tend asymptotically toward a nearly constant state. "The explosion of small and mesoscale structure
at higher Re is significant for developing appropriate ways to
represent this activity in oceanic general circulation models,"
Weiss said. Calculations of such quantities as the eddy kinetic
energy and its distribution over the basin, poleward fluxes of
fluid elements, and other basin-averaged quantities yield important
insight into the behavior of mesoscale processes in the ocean. "While the time-mean kinetic energy is relatively
independent of Re," Weiss said, "the emergence of vortices contribute
to the increase of eddy kinetic energy and meridional vorticity
flux as Re increases." The rate of increase slows slightly at
the highest Re, he noted, indicating the possibility of a regime
in which eddy variability decouples from further increases in
Re. Top
| Contents | Next CONCLUSIONS "The abundance and variety of coherent ocean
vortices challenges us to develop better modeling skill and theoretical
understanding of their dynamics and roles in the general circulation,"
McWilliams said. "These simulations represent contributions to
our understanding" of the processes that control the rates of
change in vortex conformations and influences. In particular,
he noted, they exhibit recurrent, spatially localized patterns;
coherent structures that are close to stationary or evolve with
considerably self-similarity; unusual longevity; and spatial isolation
from other coherent structures. If these are the essential characteristics
of actual ocean eddies and vortices, Weiss added, the incorporation
of this behavior into larger models should produce more realistic
outcomes and better predictions of climatic variables. Plans are
to continue using Blue Horizon to verify what appears to happen
as Re and horizontal resolution are increased. "This painstaking
modeling is increasingly important to geophysicists, particularly
in an epoch when they and policy makers who depend upon them are
considering rapid environmental changes," McWilliams said. -MM
paos.colorado.edu/area/dynamics.html Top
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Project Leader
Jeffrey B. Weiss
University of Colorado, Boulder Participants
James C. McWilliams,
Pavel S. Berloff
UCLA Brett DiFrischia
University of Colorado, Boulder Andrew Siegel
University of Chicago Juri Toomre
Joint Institute for Laboratory Astrophysics,
University of Colorado, Boulder Irad Yavneh
Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa |